Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Rantanen 50.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 73.2%
Defensive zone
Benn 87.7%
Neutral zone
Benn 66.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Benn
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Benn
Rantanen
Last 8: Benn 5-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Rantanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Rantanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
1
3
Benn
Rantanen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
51.0% (1,522)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
50.8% (484)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
14.3% (7)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Benn
Rantanen
Home
54.9% (4,547)
53.0% (1,067)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
48.3% (946)
By Period
Benn
Rantanen
P1
51.9%
49.0%
P2
52.6%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
51.8%
OT
62.4%
57.8%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:04 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |