Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 85.8%
Defensive zone
Benn 59.6%
Neutral zone
Benn 81.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Benn
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Benn
MacKinnon
Last 9: Benn 6-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
3
2
Benn
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
45.5% (1,190)
+17.1%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
56.4% (94)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
40.0% (30)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Benn
MacKinnon
Home
60.5% (349)
47.8% (670)
Away
62.0% (363)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Benn
MacKinnon
P1
60.8%
45.3%
P2
60.1%
48.5%
P3
62.4%
45.0%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
62.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
61.2%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 4, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |