Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 53.0% vs Bonino 50.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 23-20 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 82.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 67.6%
Neutral zone
Benn 58.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Benn
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
20
(43 meetings)
23
20
Benn
Bonino
Last 10: Benn 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
17
5
Benn
Bonino
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
12
Benn
Bonino
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
4
3
Benn
Bonino
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,441)
50.6% (8,315)
+2.9%
Power Play
52.6% (2,049)
54.1% (972)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (514)
44.6% (1,693)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,263).
Benn shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Benn
Bonino
Home
55.0% (4,536)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
51.0% (4,484)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Benn
Bonino
P1
51.9%
50.6%
P2
52.6%
48.5%
P3
54.1%
51.1%
OT
62.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
53.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |