Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Bonino 51.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 76.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 57.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 52.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Benn
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Benn
Bonino
Last 5: Benn 3-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Benn
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
51.7% (777)
+3.6%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
60.0% (50)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
43.9% (98)
+3.4%
On even strength, Benn has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Benn shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Benn
Bonino
Home
56.2% (443)
48.2% (461)
Away
54.2% (448)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Benn
Bonino
P1
55.4%
54.1%
P2
54.1%
49.7%
P3
55.6%
50.7%
OT
71.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
55.2%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |