Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.7% vs Elias 44.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 64.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 64.4%
Neutral zone
Elias 65.2%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Benn
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Benn
Elias
Last 8: Benn 1-7 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Benn
Elias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
2
Benn
Elias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
4
Benn
Elias
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (612)
44.7% (954)
+1.7%
Power Play
43.2% (95)
46.9% (196)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
57.6% (33)
36.1% (180)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Benn is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Benn shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Benn
Elias
Home
48.5% (377)
46.0% (692)
Away
43.9% (374)
42.2% (677)
By Period
Benn
Elias
P1
40.4%
40.7%
P2
52.1%
46.8%
P3
46.8%
44.0%
OT
36.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |