Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Elias 42.7% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 73.1%
Defensive zone
Elias 73.7%
Neutral zone
Elias 84.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
Benn
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Benn
Elias
Last 9: Benn 2-7 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Benn
Elias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Benn
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
4
Benn
Elias
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
42.3% (2,591)
+11.2%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
48.4% (405)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
36.0% (367)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Benn
Elias
Home
54.9% (4,547)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Benn
Elias
P1
51.9%
41.1%
P2
52.6%
43.1%
P3
54.0%
43.0%
OT
62.4%
43.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 14:10 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |