Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 20 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 27-18 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 92.3%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 65.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 78.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Benn
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
27
(45 meetings)
18
27
Benn
Gaustad
Last 10: Benn 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
11
2
Benn
Gaustad
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
20
Benn
Gaustad
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
7
5
Benn
Gaustad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
58.2% (4,334)
-4.7%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
65.4% (188)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
54.8% (1,290)
-5.5%
On power play, Gaustad has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Benn
Gaustad
Home
54.9% (4,547)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Benn
Gaustad
P1
51.9%
58.2%
P2
52.6%
56.4%
P3
54.0%
58.3%
OT
62.4%
66.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 08:06 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |