Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 37 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 53.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 50-40 in 90 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 50.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 74.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 62.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Benn
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
40
(90 meetings)
50
40
Benn
Stastny
Last 10: Benn 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
26
11
Benn
Stastny
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
9
16
Benn
Stastny
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
15
13
Benn
Stastny
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,441)
54.6% (10,616)
-1.1%
Power Play
52.6% (2,049)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (514)
52.9% (1,119)
-3.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,263).
Benn shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Benn
Stastny
Home
55.0% (4,536)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
51.0% (4,484)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Benn
Stastny
P1
51.9%
56.3%
P2
52.6%
55.4%
P3
54.1%
53.5%
OT
62.4%
62.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
52.0%▼
54.0%
53.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |