Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Stastny 56.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 51.5%
Defensive zone
Stastny 56.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 51.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Benn
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Benn
Stastny
Last 5: Benn 2-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Benn
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Benn
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
57.5% (412)
+4.3%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
60.0% (65)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
44.4% (9)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Benn
Stastny
Home
64.4% (433)
58.3% (276)
Away
55.8% (432)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Benn
Stastny
P1
61.8%
63.7%
P2
59.6%
57.3%
P3
59.2%
50.4%
Final 5 min
62.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |