Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 51.2% vs Stastny 55.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 70.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 90.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 86.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Benn
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Benn
Stastny
Last 7: Benn 7-0 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
0
Benn
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (233)
55.4% (1,004)
-2.6%
Power Play
53.8% (130)
59.0% (210)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
54.1% (196)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Benn is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Benn shoots left. Stastny is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Benn
Stastny
Home
52.4% (212)
56.5% (717)
Away
50.5% (200)
55.0% (693)
By Period
Benn
Stastny
P1
55.8%
56.7%
P2
45.0%
57.7%
P3
53.4%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 28, 2016 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |