Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 46.6% vs Gagner 44.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 68.5%
Defensive zone
Gagner 51.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 71.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Benn
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Benn
Gagner
Last 9: Benn 6-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (561)
42.1% (575)
+5.7%
Power Play
39.8% (133)
55.3% (123)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
34.9% (43)
+5.1%
On power play, Gagner has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Benn is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Benn shoots left. Gagner is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Benn
Gagner
Home
51.4% (317)
45.6% (375)
Away
41.8% (392)
42.1% (366)
By Period
Benn
Gagner
P1
42.7%
40.1%
P2
45.4%
42.2%
P3
50.4%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |