Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Benn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Gagner 52.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 54.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 51.3%
Neutral zone
Gagner 56.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Benn
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Benn
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Benn
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
76.5% (17)
-13.9%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
28.6% (7)
+29.8%
On power play, Benn has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Benn shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Benn
Gagner
Home
60.5% (349)
75.0% (16)
Away
62.0% (363)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Benn
Gagner
P1
60.8%
25.0%
P2
60.1%
64.3%
P3
62.4%
83.3%
Final 5 min
62.4%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |