Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Steel 50.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 74.1%
Defensive zone
Steel 51.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 56.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Benn
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Benn
Steel
Last 7: Benn 4-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Benn
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
50.6% (2,876)
+2.9%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
62.6% (179)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
37.4% (254)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Benn
Steel
Home
54.9% (4,547)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Benn
Steel
P1
51.9%
51.9%
P2
52.6%
49.5%
P3
54.0%
49.6%
OT
62.4%
41.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Sam Steel |