Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 67.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.9% vs Monahan 54.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 63.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 65.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Benn
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Benn
Monahan
Last 8: Benn 4-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Benn
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (479)
57.1% (871)
+5.5%
Power Play
58.4% (190)
53.1% (262)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (43)
44.6% (139)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Benn is 67.2% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Benn shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Benn
Monahan
Home
60.5% (349)
55.3% (644)
Away
62.0% (363)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Benn
Monahan
P1
60.8%
53.9%
P2
60.1%
55.3%
P3
62.4%
54.4%
OT
83.3%
76.5%
Final 5 min
62.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |