Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Pinto 50.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 75.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 83.0%
Neutral zone
Pinto 62.9%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Benn
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Benn
Pinto
Last 7: Benn 3-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
Pinto
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Benn
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (365)
50.4% (779)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.8% (132)
55.2% (29)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
44.9% (78)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Benn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Benn shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Benn
Pinto
Home
57.3% (267)
52.4% (454)
Away
54.6% (262)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Benn
Pinto
P1
54.3%
48.1%
P2
55.7%
52.9%
P3
58.1%
49.3%
Final 5 min
59.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |