Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Smith 50.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 76.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 76.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.6%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Benn
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Benn
Smith
Last 10: Benn 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
7
3
Benn
Smith
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
5
Benn
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Benn
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
51.6% (5,265)
+1.9%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
51.2% (342)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
45.3% (985)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Benn
Smith
Home
54.9% (4,547)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Benn
Smith
P1
51.9%
49.9%
P2
52.6%
50.0%
P3
54.0%
51.9%
OT
62.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2019 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |