Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Harkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 51.5% vs Harkins 51.7% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 52.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 56.0%
Neutral zone
Harkins 51.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Ryan
Harkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Ryan
Harkins
Last 7: Ryan 3-4 Harkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Harkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Harkins
1
2
Ryan
Harkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Harkins
1
2
Ryan
Harkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (245)
61.1% (18)
-6.8%
On even strength, Harkins has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Ryan is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Ryan shoots right. Harkins is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Ryan
Harkins
Home
50.9% (167)
64.3% (14)
Away
53.5% (127)
50.0% (4)
By Period
Ryan
Harkins
P1
44.0%
40.0%
P2
61.7%
42.9%
P3
50.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
83.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.0%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |