Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Harkins wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 52.4% vs Veleno 47.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 64.6%
Defensive zone
Veleno 51.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 53.6%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Harkins
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Harkins
Veleno
Last 5: Harkins 2-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Harkins
Veleno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
2
Harkins
Veleno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Harkins
2
0
Harkins
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (152)
47.1% (420)
+3.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (66)
25.0% (8)
+34.1%
On penalty kill, Harkins has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Harkins is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Harkins shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Harkins
Veleno
Home
54.8% (115)
47.8% (201)
Away
51.9% (104)
46.1% (228)
By Period
Harkins
Veleno
P1
51.4%
48.8%
P2
53.3%
47.9%
P3
55.6%
44.2%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.4%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |