Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Harkins wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Reichel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 52.4% vs Reichel 42.1% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 64.8%
Defensive zone
Harkins 52.4%
Neutral zone
Reichel 52.8%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Harkins
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Harkins
Reichel
Last 5: Harkins 2-3 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
0
1
Harkins
Reichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Harkins
2
0
Harkins
Reichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reichel
0
2
Harkins
Reichel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (152)
39.1% (327)
+11.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (28)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (66)
0.0% (1)
+59.1%
On penalty kill, Harkins has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Harkins is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Harkins shoots left. Reichel is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Harkins
Reichel
Home
54.8% (115)
43.7% (206)
Away
51.9% (104)
34.7% (150)
By Period
Harkins
Reichel
P1
51.4%
35.5%
P2
53.3%
39.5%
P3
55.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
35.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.4%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |