Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 50.9% vs Beniers 49.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 55.3%
Defensive zone
Beniers 57.5%
Neutral zone
Harkins 51.9%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Harkins
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Harkins
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Harkins
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Harkins
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (173)
48.9% (833)
+0.8%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
58.3% (36)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
50.0% (32)
+16.7%
On power play, Harkins has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Harkins is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Harkins shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Harkins
Beniers
Home
55.3% (85)
52.4% (460)
Away
48.0% (100)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Harkins
Beniers
P1
71.4%
48.4%
P2
41.8%
51.1%
P3
43.5%
47.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
51.4%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Jansen Harkins |