Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Harkins on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Harkins wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 52.4% vs Beniers 47.8% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 57.5%
Defensive zone
Harkins 80.1%
Neutral zone
Harkins 77.6%
Result
Jansen Harkins favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Harkins
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Harkins
Beniers
Last 7: Harkins 5-2 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Harkins
Beniers
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Harkins
3
0
Harkins
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Harkins
2
1
Harkins
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (152)
48.3% (1,050)
+2.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
42.9% (105)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (66)
43.6% (39)
+15.5%
On power play, Harkins has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Harkins is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Harkins shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Harkins
Beniers
Home
54.8% (115)
48.7% (630)
Away
51.9% (104)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Harkins
Beniers
P1
51.4%
49.2%
P2
53.3%
45.0%
P3
55.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.4%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |