Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Harkins wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 52.4% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 78.7%
Defensive zone
Harkins 57.4%
Neutral zone
Harkins 51.7%
Result
Jansen Harkins favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Harkins
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Harkins
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Harkins
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (152)
48.3% (271)
+2.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (66)
71.4% (7)
-12.3%
On power play, Harkins has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Harkins is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Harkins shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Harkins
Ostapchuk
Home
54.8% (115)
49.3% (140)
Away
51.9% (104)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Harkins
Ostapchuk
P1
51.4%
49.1%
P2
53.3%
48.9%
P3
55.6%
47.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.4%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |