Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs McCann 46.2% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 65.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 73.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 64.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
McBain
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McBain
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
McCann
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
McCann
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
48.4% (188)
+2.8%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
33.3% (15)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
31.7% (41)
-4.4%
On power play, McBain has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. McCann is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
McBain
McCann
Home
53.6% (235)
52.8% (125)
Away
46.0% (224)
36.1% (119)
By Period
McBain
McCann
P1
48.6%
37.7%
P2
50.9%
50.5%
P3
50.0%
45.2%
Final 5 min
55.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jack McBain |