Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Spezza 54.7% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 75.5%
Defensive zone
McCann 67.3%
Neutral zone
McCann 73.5%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
McCann
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
McCann
Spezza
Last 10: McCann 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
5
McCann
Spezza
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
4
McCann
Spezza
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
3
1
McCann
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
54.4% (7,990)
-11.3%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
56.8% (1,726)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
52.7% (643)
-10.5%
On power play, Spezza has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
McCann
Spezza
Home
43.1% (1,758)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
McCann
Spezza
P1
44.4%
55.7%
P2
41.7%
54.4%
P3
42.7%
54.1%
OT
36.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
41.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |