Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Spezza 52.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 50.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 55.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 51.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
McCann
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCann
Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
McCann
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
53.7% (451)
-7.7%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
54.3% (92)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
38.2% (34)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. McCann is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
McCann shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
McCann
Spezza
Home
45.1% (244)
55.0% (282)
Away
46.0% (248)
50.8% (295)
By Period
McCann
Spezza
P1
42.5%
53.1%
P2
45.9%
53.2%
P3
47.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Jared McCann |