Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McCann wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.9% vs Spezza 53.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 58.8%
Defensive zone
McCann 59.4%
Neutral zone
McCann 60.3%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
McCann
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McCann
Spezza
Last 8: McCann 3-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
4
McCann
Spezza
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (477)
52.6% (346)
-6.1%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
61.0% (41)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
72.7% (11)
-26.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. McCann is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
McCann shoots left. Spezza is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
McCann
Spezza
Home
46.3% (296)
56.0% (175)
Away
46.5% (275)
52.5% (223)
By Period
McCann
Spezza
P1
49.4%
56.8%
P2
44.5%
54.3%
P3
46.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
47.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |