Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Tavares 54.4% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 79.7%
Defensive zone
McCann 70.3%
Neutral zone
McCann 83.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
McCann
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
17
(29 meetings)
12
17
McCann
Tavares
Last 10: McCann 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
8
McCann
Tavares
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
7
3
McCann
Tavares
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
6
McCann
Tavares
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
54.0% (16,108)
-10.9%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
56.5% (4,283)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
50.6% (620)
-8.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
McCann
Tavares
Home
43.1% (1,758)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
McCann
Tavares
P1
44.4%
55.0%
P2
41.7%
54.1%
P3
42.7%
54.1%
OT
36.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
41.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |