Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.1%). McCann wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs Scheifele 48.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.0%
Defensive zone
McCann 60.7%
Neutral zone
McCann 51.6%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
McCann
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCann
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
McCann
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
48.1% (1,045)
+0.7%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
48.6% (181)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
44.4% (27)
+5.6%
On power play, Scheifele has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McCann is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
McCann shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
McCann
Scheifele
Home
51.0% (143)
52.7% (630)
Away
45.1% (164)
43.5% (623)
By Period
McCann
Scheifele
P1
53.6%
50.3%
P2
52.0%
46.8%
P3
37.6%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
41.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Jared McCann |