Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Zibanejad 46.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 63.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.3%
Neutral zone
McCann 50.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
McCann
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McCann
Zibanejad
Last 6: McCann 2-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
McCann
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McCann
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (106)
47.8% (667)
-4.4%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
51.4% (181)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
36.0% (186)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McCann is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (77).
McCann shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
McCann
Zibanejad
Home
43.3% (60)
48.4% (529)
Away
43.5% (69)
44.2% (505)
By Period
McCann
Zibanejad
P1
42.5%
46.2%
P2
40.4%
47.7%
P3
48.7%
44.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
43.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |