Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 21-10 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 79.1%
Defensive zone
McCann 91.3%
Neutral zone
McCann 87.9%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
McCann
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
21
(31 meetings)
10
21
McCann
Zibanejad
Last 10: McCann 3-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
6
McCann
Zibanejad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
12
McCann
Zibanejad
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McCann
Zibanejad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
50.9% (11,719)
-7.8%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
52.2% (1,849)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
41.5% (1,790)
+0.7%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
McCann
Zibanejad
Home
43.1% (1,758)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
McCann
Zibanejad
P1
44.4%
50.4%
P2
41.7%
49.7%
P3
42.7%
49.8%
OT
36.4%
48.7%
Final 5 min
41.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 10, 2023 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |