Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Kadri 48.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 30-20 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 83.7%
Defensive zone
McCann 71.6%
Neutral zone
McCann 77.5%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
McCann
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
30
(50 meetings)
20
30
McCann
Kadri
Last 10: McCann 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
12
McCann
Kadri
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
9
6
McCann
Kadri
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
7
12
McCann
Kadri
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
48.2% (12,510)
-5.1%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
53.0% (1,892)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
41.0% (293)
+1.2%
On power play, Kadri has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
McCann
Kadri
Home
43.1% (1,758)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
McCann
Kadri
P1
44.4%
49.2%
P2
41.7%
48.8%
P3
42.7%
48.0%
OT
36.4%
49.0%
Final 5 min
41.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | OT | 01:22 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |