Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.9% vs Bonino 52.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 81.7%
Defensive zone
McCann 59.1%
Neutral zone
McCann 66.0%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
McCann
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McCann
Bonino
Last 5: McCann 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
McCann
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (477)
52.0% (717)
-5.5%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
62.7% (67)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
50.7% (144)
-4.5%
On power play, Bonino has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. McCann is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (379).
McCann shoots left. Bonino is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
McCann
Bonino
Home
46.3% (296)
54.8% (429)
Away
46.5% (275)
50.7% (499)
By Period
McCann
Bonino
P1
49.4%
53.5%
P2
44.5%
49.5%
P3
46.0%
54.8%
OT
42.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |