Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Bonino 51.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 76.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.7%
Neutral zone
McCann 51.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
McCann
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McCann
Bonino
Last 5: McCann 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
McCann
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
2
1
McCann
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
51.7% (777)
-5.7%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
60.0% (50)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
43.9% (98)
+18.6%
On power play, Bonino has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. McCann is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (305).
McCann shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
McCann
Bonino
Home
45.1% (244)
48.2% (461)
Away
46.0% (248)
54.5% (464)
By Period
McCann
Bonino
P1
42.5%
54.1%
P2
45.9%
49.7%
P3
47.8%
50.7%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |