Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Patrick 51.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 59.6%
Defensive zone
McCann 68.9%
Neutral zone
McCann 63.4%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
McCann
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
McCann
Patrick
Last 10: McCann 5-5 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
4
McCann
Patrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
7
3
McCann
Patrick
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
5
McCann
Patrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
50.6% (1,978)
-7.5%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
57.5% (120)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
57.7% (26)
-15.5%
On power play, Patrick has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
McCann
Patrick
Home
43.1% (1,758)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
McCann
Patrick
P1
44.4%
52.9%
P2
41.7%
49.1%
P3
42.7%
51.3%
OT
36.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Jared McCann |