Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Patrick 48.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 58.3%
Defensive zone
McCann 53.8%
Neutral zone
McCann 60.0%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
McCann
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McCann
Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
McCann
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
47.4% (156)
-1.4%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
56.3% (16)
-17.0%
On power play, Patrick has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. McCann is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
McCann shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
McCann
Patrick
Home
45.1% (244)
43.8% (96)
Away
46.0% (248)
53.9% (76)
By Period
McCann
Patrick
P1
42.5%
44.4%
P2
45.9%
45.6%
P3
47.8%
56.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |