Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
McCann leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 71.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 75.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 74.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 73.6%
26.4%
73.6%
McCann
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
McCann
Stastny
Last 10: McCann 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
McCann
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
3
1
McCann
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
54.6% (10,616)
-11.5%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
59.1% (1,994)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
52.9% (1,119)
-10.7%
On power play, Stastny has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
McCann
Stastny
Home
43.1% (1,758)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
McCann
Stastny
P1
44.4%
56.3%
P2
41.7%
55.4%
P3
42.7%
53.5%
OT
36.4%
62.9%
Final 5 min
41.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |