Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Zacha 49.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 15-15 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 51.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 52.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
McCann
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
15
(30 meetings)
15
15
McCann
Zacha
Last 10: McCann 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
6
3
McCann
Zacha
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
8
McCann
Zacha
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
5
4
McCann
Zacha
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
48.9% (5,102)
-5.8%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
55.6% (804)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
42.2% (555)
+0.0%
On power play, Zacha has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
McCann
Zacha
Home
43.1% (1,758)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
McCann
Zacha
P1
44.4%
49.9%
P2
41.7%
49.2%
P3
42.7%
48.1%
OT
36.4%
53.1%
Final 5 min
41.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 21, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |