Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Nash 48.5% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
McCann leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 62.1%
Defensive zone
Nash 87.2%
Neutral zone
Nash 81.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
McCann
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
McCann
Nash
Last 10: McCann 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
4
1
McCann
Nash
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
3
2
McCann
Nash
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
48.7% (4,621)
-5.6%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
51.0% (249)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
44.9% (550)
-2.7%
On power play, Nash has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
McCann
Nash
Home
43.1% (1,758)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
McCann
Nash
P1
44.4%
49.0%
P2
41.7%
47.9%
P3
42.7%
48.0%
OT
36.4%
68.4%
Final 5 min
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 05:20 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Riley Nash |