Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 81.5%
Defensive zone
McCann 82.8%
Neutral zone
McCann 89.6%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
McCann
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
McCann
Kesler
Last 10: McCann 1-9 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McCann
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
McCann
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
McCann
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,175)
56.4% (8,095)
-13.3%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
60.7% (1,437)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
50.5% (1,908)
-8.3%
On power play, Kesler has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
McCann
Kesler
Home
43.0% (1,757)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
42.5% (1,853)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
McCann
Kesler
P1
44.3%
56.5%
P2
41.7%
55.9%
P3
42.7%
56.1%
OT
36.4%
46.0%
Final 5 min
41.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
42.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jared McCann |