Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs McLeod 49.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 70.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 92.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 85.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 85.4%
14.6%
85.4%
McCann
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McCann
McLeod
Last 6: McCann 5-1 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
3
0
McCann
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
50.4% (3,345)
-7.3%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
51.0% (292)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
44.3% (635)
-2.1%
On power play, McLeod has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
McCann
McLeod
Home
43.1% (1,758)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
McCann
McLeod
P1
44.4%
50.8%
P2
41.7%
48.4%
P3
42.7%
50.0%
OT
36.4%
37.1%
Final 5 min
41.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |