Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Monahan 51.3% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 80.4%
Defensive zone
McCann 68.0%
Neutral zone
McCann 78.2%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
McCann
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
15
(25 meetings)
10
15
McCann
Monahan
Last 10: McCann 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
8
McCann
Monahan
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
4
McCann
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
5
3
McCann
Monahan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
51.1% (11,356)
-8.0%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
53.7% (2,580)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
46.0% (766)
-3.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
McCann
Monahan
Home
43.1% (1,758)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
McCann
Monahan
P1
44.4%
50.9%
P2
41.7%
51.7%
P3
42.7%
51.0%
OT
36.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
41.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Jared McCann |