Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs Monahan 54.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 51.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 55.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
McCann
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
McCann
Monahan
Last 8: McCann 4-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
McCann
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
57.1% (871)
-8.3%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
53.1% (262)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
44.6% (139)
+5.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McCann is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
McCann shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
McCann
Monahan
Home
51.0% (143)
55.3% (644)
Away
45.1% (164)
54.5% (628)
By Period
McCann
Monahan
P1
53.6%
53.9%
P2
52.0%
55.3%
P3
37.6%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |