Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Aho 51.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 63.0%
Defensive zone
McCann 54.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
McCann
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
McCann
Aho
Last 10: McCann 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
McCann
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
3
2
McCann
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCann
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
50.1% (6,619)
-7.0%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
58.9% (1,310)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
46.3% (464)
-4.1%
On power play, Aho has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
McCann
Aho
Home
43.1% (1,758)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
McCann
Aho
P1
44.4%
51.1%
P2
41.7%
52.0%
P3
42.7%
50.7%
OT
36.4%
48.9%
Final 5 min
41.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 12:13 | Neutral | Jared McCann |