Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Aho 52.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 72.9%
Defensive zone
McCann 69.2%
Neutral zone
McCann 71.4%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
McCann
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
McCann
Aho
Last 8: McCann 2-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
McCann
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
McCann
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
McCann
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
51.6% (819)
-5.6%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
58.4% (173)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
46.3% (67)
+16.2%
On power play, Aho has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. McCann is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (305).
McCann shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
McCann
Aho
Home
45.1% (244)
53.9% (568)
Away
46.0% (248)
50.7% (491)
By Period
McCann
Aho
P1
42.5%
55.4%
P2
45.9%
51.2%
P3
47.8%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |