Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 55.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 70.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 61.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
McCann
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
McCann
Stamkos
Last 9: McCann 5-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
1
McCann
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
McCann
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
49.3% (789)
-3.3%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
56.9% (181)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
54.1% (98)
+8.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McCann is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
McCann shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
McCann
Stamkos
Home
45.1% (244)
52.0% (512)
Away
46.0% (248)
50.2% (556)
By Period
McCann
Stamkos
P1
42.5%
42.1%
P2
45.9%
56.4%
P3
47.8%
53.7%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |