Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Rask 50.1% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 84.8%
Defensive zone
McCann 81.3%
Neutral zone
McCann 82.6%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
McCann
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
McCann
Rask
Last 10: McCann 1-9 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
McCann
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
McCann
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
5
McCann
Rask
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,175)
50.0% (4,428)
-6.9%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
54.3% (363)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
35.2% (54)
+7.0%
On power play, Rask has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,300).
McCann shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
McCann
Rask
Home
43.0% (1,757)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
42.5% (1,853)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
McCann
Rask
P1
44.3%
50.7%
P2
41.7%
48.9%
P3
42.7%
50.7%
OT
36.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
41.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
42.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Victor Rask |