Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs Johnston 50.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 66.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 64.7%
Neutral zone
McCann 51.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
McCann
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McCann
Johnston
Last 7: McCann 3-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
1
McCann
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
McCann
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
50.7% (552)
-1.9%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
61.5% (13)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
43.5% (69)
+6.5%
On power play, Johnston has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. McCann is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
McCann shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
McCann
Johnston
Home
51.0% (143)
50.3% (342)
Away
45.1% (164)
50.0% (292)
By Period
McCann
Johnston
P1
53.6%
54.4%
P2
52.0%
47.2%
P3
37.6%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Jared McCann |