Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 40.3% vs Smith 48.2% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 69.0%
Defensive zone
McCann 71.4%
Neutral zone
McCann 70.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
McCann
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
McCann
Smith
Last 7: McCann 1-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
McCann
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
McCann
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
McCann
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (522)
49.7% (485)
-11.2%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
46.8% (47)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
38.6% (88)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. McCann is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (346).
McCann shoots left. Smith is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
McCann
Smith
Home
39.3% (285)
48.7% (310)
Away
37.7% (265)
47.1% (310)
By Period
McCann
Smith
P1
42.0%
45.8%
P2
34.0%
47.4%
P3
40.9%
50.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
38.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 12:36 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |