Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Smith 50.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 75.9%
Defensive zone
McCann 57.9%
Neutral zone
McCann 69.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
McCann
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
McCann
Smith
Last 10: McCann 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
McCann
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
McCann
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
McCann
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
51.6% (5,265)
-8.5%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
51.2% (342)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
45.3% (985)
-3.1%
On power play, Smith has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
McCann
Smith
Home
43.1% (1,758)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
McCann
Smith
P1
44.4%
49.9%
P2
41.7%
50.0%
P3
42.7%
51.9%
OT
36.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
41.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 16:22 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 12:36 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Zack Smith |