Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Iginla on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 50.3% vs Duchene 54.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Iginla leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 69.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 90.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 85.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 82.5%
17.5%
82.5%
Iginla
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Iginla
Duchene
Last 10: Iginla 9-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Iginla
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
3
2
Iginla
Duchene
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Iginla
5
0
Iginla
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (994)
53.9% (10,396)
-2.8%
Power Play
49.7% (366)
56.9% (1,665)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (36)
49.1% (468)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Iginla is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,104).
Iginla shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Iginla
Duchene
Home
54.6% (694)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
46.1% (709)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Iginla
Duchene
P1
52.9%
54.5%
P2
47.6%
54.5%
P3
51.7%
53.4%
OT
34.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |